On the one hand, Gagan’s ‘legal rebellion’, on the other hand, Oli-writer’s ‘Chaite custody’

‘Game Changer’ Mode of Nepali Politics:

If you think that Nepali politics is revolving in the old rhythm, then you are wrong. Inside the walls of Singha Durbar and in the Supreme Court bench, such a ‘Mahabharat’ has erupted that has shaken the very foundation of Nepal’s traditional political forces.

TAG_OPEN_span_96 This isn’t just news, it’s the end of an era and the beginning of another uncertain but aggressive era. On the one hand, Nepali Congress’s ‘popular at the ward-level’ General Secretary Gagan Thapa has declared his own President Sher Bahadur Deuba ‘non-existent’, while on the other hand, the heat of ‘Gen-Z’ rebellion has shown the door to detention for celebrities like KP Oli and Ramesh Lekhak.

Today’s Blackboard Explanation } We will dissect these two gigantic events.

TAG_OPEN_b_118 Gagan Thapa’s 21-page ‘bombshell’: “Deuba is no longer the president!”

Perhaps for the first time in the history of Nepali Congress, an elected general secretary has put his own president in the dock and said, }”You don’t even have the right to file a case.TAG_OPEN_span_92 “

The 21-page reply submitted by Gagan Thapa, Bishwa Prakash Sharma and Pradip Poudel to the Supreme Court is not an ordinary legal paper.TAG_OPEN_span_90

What is the main message of the reply?

Gagan’s argument is straightforward: Deuba and Khadka could not run the party, could not hold the general convention, so a ‘special general convention’ became necessary.TAG_OPEN_span_89 The special convention held with the signatures of 54.58 percent of the general convention delegates has already ‘dismissed’ Deuba’s working committee.

Three deadly arguments presented by Gagan in the Supreme Court:

• Haqdaiya’s question: Gagan says, “When the special general convention has elected me as the president and the Election Commission has updated the details, in what capacity did Deuba come to the court claiming to be the president? A non-existent committee does not have the right to file a petition. “
• No one is above the voter: } Thapa and Sharma have reminded them of the basic principle of democracy: “No office-bearer in the party can be above the voter (representative) who elects him.” They claimed that Deuba had trampled on the mandatory provision of calling the general convention within three months after 40 percent of the demands were made.
• Political legitimacy: He has presented the fact that the candidates contested the election on March 4 with a ‘ticket’ signed by Gagan Thapa as proof of his ‘political legitimacy’.

Is this a coup or a ‘reform’ within the Congress? The court will decide this, but Gagan has brought the Deuba camp to a ‘check and mate’ situation.

Aftermath of ‘Jenji’ Rebellion: Oli and Writer Arrested

When ‘Jenji’ (young people born between 1997 and 2012) took to the streets of Kathmandu, many thought it was just a few days of noise. But the same revolt created such an earthquake in politics that its aftershocks have engulfed former Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli and influential leader Ramesh Lekhak.

Balen Shah’s ‘Bold’ move

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The Balendra Shah-led government decided to implement the report of the ‘Gauri Bahadur Karki Commission’ in the first cabinet meeting.TAG_OPEN_span_81 The report had been stuck in the drawer for years. There is a list of collusion and irregularities of VIPs. The country was shocked by the decision of March 27 and the arrest of Oli-Lekhak on the morning of March 27.

Why was released?

They were released on Thursday after the court’s third term of detention expired and the Supreme Court issued a mandamus asking them not to extend the remnance.TAG_OPEN_span_80 But this is not a “acquittal” acquittal. They were released on ‘attendance guarantee’ after the District Government Attorney’s Office could not register the case immediately.

Oli returned home from the Teaching Hospital under the care of his wife Radhika Shakya, but the sword of ‘Jenji Andolan Suppression’ and ‘Karki Commission Report’ is still hanging over him.

What is the ‘connection’ of these two events?

Looking at , Gagan’s legal battle and Oli’s arrest seem to be different, but their roots are the same — ‘Failure of the old system’}.

• Generational pressure: The weapon that Gagan Thapa used in the Nepali Congress for a ‘special convention’ was actually a mass revolt of the younger generation against Deuba’s style of functioning.
• Vengeance or Rule of Law?: The arrest of Oli and the author has been described by some as a ‘populist’ move by Balen Shah, while others have called it the beginning of the ‘rule of law’. However, it has sent a message that the days of legal immunity are coming to an end just because of a ‘big leader’.

What happens now? (The Road Ahead)

Nepalese politics has now turned towards ‘unknown destinations’. Here are some possible scenarios:

• If the Supreme Court upholds Gagan Thapa’s ‘special general convention’, it will be a “tragic end” of Sher Bahadur Deuba’s five-decade-long political career.TAG_OPEN_span_73 TAG_CLOSE_b_104 TAG_OPEN_b_104 And the Congress will be completely in the hands of Gagan-Vishwa Prakash. If the court takes Deuba’s side, Gagan will have to choose between forming a new party or rebelling on the basis of “morality”.
• Oli and UML’s strategy: KP Oli will try to garner sympathy by making this arrest a card of ‘political vendetta’. However, the answer to the question posed to him by the ‘Genji’ generation is not easy. The legal battle will be long for Oli, who has been released on bail.
• Rise of Naya Shakti: Characters like Balen Shah and Gagan Thapa have changed the dictionary of traditional politics. The politics of the future seems to be guided by ‘signatures’, ‘clauses of statute’ and ‘street anger’.

Delete Comment: ‘Old Guards’ vs. ‘New Force’

This ‘power play’ that is currently going on in Nepali politics is actually a Soft Coup. Gagan Thapa trying to topple Deuba from the hole in the statute and Balen Shah imprisoning Oli by shaking the dust of the old report — both these incidents say the same thing: } “You could not run the country and the party, now vacate the place. “

So, is this process smooth? Of course not. Ghagdan players like Deuba and Oli will not leave the field so easily. The Supreme Court is no longer just a place for legal interpretation, it has become a ‘Kurukshetra’ to write Nepal’s political future.

Finally,

Gagan Thapa’s 21-page reply and Oli’s release from the Teaching Hospital make it clear that the ‘status quo’ is no longer possible in Nepali politics.TAG_OPEN_span_65 Either the old leaders have to change themselves, or they have to shrink into the annals of history.

‘Blackboard Explainer’ says— It’s just a trailer, let alone a climax!